Claude AI Predicts the Price of Solana and XRP If the Clarity Act Doesn’t Pass in 2026

As of March 2026, the CLARITY Act has been stuck for months. However, we’ve finally seen a breakthrough with the agreement in principle between the key senators on the debate surrounding stablecoins and yield.

The Senate Banking Committee is set to mark the bill in mid to late April. However, the market is cautious as the legislative window is extremely tight. If the bill doesn’t move forward this April, it could get tangled up in midterm election politics and likely die for the year. 

For context, Polymarket gives the CLARITY Act a 68% chance of being signed into law in 2026, meaning there’s a 32% chance it doesn’t pass this year. Claude AI ran its analysis with these exact odds in mind, weighing both the optimistic path forward and the very real possibility that the bill stalls out completely.

With that pressure mounting, I asked Claude AI to outline what happens next for Solana and XRP, based on whether the bill passes or fails.

Here’s WHat the XRP Chart Is Showing

The daily chart for the XRP price shows a market that’s in a state of decline since the last peak around the $3.80 mark towards the end of 2025. The market is trading around the $1.40 mark, which is a significant support region around the middle of last year.

The above chart is presenting a picture of uncertainty as the market is trading in the region of the $1.20 to $1.80 range.

This kind of consolidation often happens when the market is waiting for a major catalyst, which in this case is the CLARITY Act vote.

XRP Price Predictions

Claude’s analysis for XRP is the most dramatic because its fate is almost entirely tied to this single piece of legislation. Without the bill, there’s no clear path forward for an ETF, leaving XRP as a pure sentiment play.

If the war of words in Washington drags on and the CLARITY Act dies in the Senate, the XRP price loses its entire bull thesis. There’s no ETF floor to catch it if the price drops. It would be driven purely by retail sentiment, which can vanish overnight. Claude’s target: $0.80–$1.10.

If the war winds down and CLARITY passes in late April, we’d likely see ETF filings within weeks. This regulatory certainty, combined with XRPL’s growing remittance corridors and real-world asset partnerships, would give it real legs to stand on. Claude’s target: $2.00–$3.20.

This is the perfect storm scenario. Bitcoin breaks its all-time high, triggering altseason. Institutional FOMO hits a newly legitimized XRP with live ETFs trading on Wall Street, and you add the historical April/May seasonality on top of that. Claude’s target: $4.00–$7.00.

Here’s What Solana Chart Is Showing

SOL chart tells a slightly different story. While it has also pulled back from its highs, the structure looks healthier. The SOL price is trading around $90, which is a major level. 

Unlike XRP, Solana has managed to stay above its recent lows, which indicates that there is still demand for the token, even at this uncertain time.

It suggests the market sees more fundamental value here, likely due to its existing ETF and real network activity.

Solana Price Predictions

Solana is in a different league right now. Claude points out that even in a worst-case scenario, SOL has a structural floor that XRP simply doesn’t have, thanks to its live ETFs and real users on the network.

Even if things get ugly, the Solana price won’t collapse the way XRP might. It would be painful, sure, but there’s too much institutional money already in place for it to go to zero. Claude’s target: $55–$75.

Read Also: Here’s Where Silver Price Could Be Headed This Week

If we get macro relief and CLARITY formally classifies SOL as a commodity, it unlocks a wave of institutional products beyond what we already have. Add in the Firedancer upgrade, which improves network speed and reliability, and ecosystem demand stays real. Claude’s target: $130–$200.

This is where Solana shines. It becomes the standout winner of the altseason. We’re talking real network yield, dominant DeFi activity, and institutions piling into the ETFs because the fundamentals are there, not just a narrative. Claude’s target: $250–$350.

However, looking at the charts, both coins are coiled up and waiting for the Senate to make a move. For XRP, it’s all or nothing, the difference between trading under a dollar or pushing toward new highs depends entirely on whether that bill passes in the next few weeks. 

For Solana, the risk is more muted. Even if the CLARITY Act fails, it has an ETF and a functioning ecosystem to fall back on. 

But if the bill passes? That’s when the real upside kicks in, potentially sending the SOL price toward that $350 target in a full-blown altseason. With the vote scheduled for mid-to-late April, we won’t have to wait long to see which path we’re on.

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