Bitcoin failed to attack $80,000 resistance as gold sought a $5,000 reclaim, while analysis argued that “crypto winter” began in January 2025.
Bitcoin (BTC) returned to range-bound moves on Tuesday as gold returned near the key $5,000 mark.
Key points:
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Bitcoin trades sideways as gold and silver attempt to reclaim prior losses.
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Analysis remains split over how the Bitcoin versus gold relationship will play out next.
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Bitwise CIO says that the latest “crypto winter” is closer to over.
$80,000 Bitcoin price stays out of reach
Data from TradingView showed BTC price action shying away from a retest of $80,000, now functioning as resistance.
BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewBTC/USD displayed familiar indecisiveness on the day, again putting it in contrast to precious metals, which were actively attempting to recoup some of their major losses from recent days.
XAU/USD rebounded to $4,971, up more than $500 versus Monday’s local lows.
XAU/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewSilver, which fell to near $71 after the January monthly candle close, traded up more than 11% on the day at the time of writing.
US stocks stayed sensitive to earnings reports, with PayPal’s miss sending its stock price down by almost 20%.
Assessing the state of play, BTC price outlooks hoped for the continuation of historical interaction with bullish gold phases.
“$BTC and $GOLD historically have taken turns to run, with Gold running the show for the past 14 months or so. It’s usually right around that time that the digital gold narrative takes over,” trader Jelle wrote in one of his latest X posts.
BTC/XAU chart. Source: Jelle/XOthers were far from convinced, including trader and analyst Northstar, who predicted that Bitcoin should lose 80% of its value in gold terms over time.
“Note, this was the first cycle where Bitcoin DID NOT make big new highs against gold. Worse may be to come due to capital rotation,” they told X followers.
BTC vs. gold data. Source: Northstar/XBitwise CIO: Crypto spring “closer than you think”
In an X article of his own on Tuesday, Matt Hougan, chief investment officer of crypto asset manager Bitwise, also put a time limit on the current “crypto winter.”
Related: Bitcoin ‘reflation’ bets diverge after US PMI breaks three-year resistance
“Here’s the good news: We’re closer than you think,” he summarized.
Hougan argued that the latest downtrend in fact started at the beginning of 2025, and it was the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that made much of last year seem like a bull run.
“As a veteran of multiple crypto winters, I can tell you that the end of those crypto winters feel a lot like now: despair, desperation, and malaise. But there is nothing about the current market pullback that’s changed anything fundamental about crypto,” he concluded.
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