Silver (XAG/USD) Price Prediction: Can Silver Sustain Its 22% Rebound From $72–$73 Support Toward $92 Resistance?

The move followed an aggressive sell-off that briefly pushed silver prices into the low-$60s before a rapid recovery back toward the mid-$70s, highlighting the metal’s sensitivity to liquidity conditions and shifting risk sentiment.

The silver price today reflects one of the most volatile trading windows seen in recent years. According to widely followed chart feeds tracking XAG/USD spot pricing during Asian and early European trading hours, silver rebounded from levels near $63.90 to trade in the $77–$78 range within a single 24-hour period. Intraday swings exceeded 9%, underscoring the scale of the move and reinforcing that this was an exceptional volatility event rather than a typical daily fluctuation.

Sharp Rebound Follows Intense Sell-Off

The rebound comes after silver experienced one of its steepest short-term declines in recent market history. From highs above $120 recorded in late 2025 futures trading, prices fell more than 30% into early 2026. That decline unfolded amid tighter global financial conditions, a firm U.S. dollar, and broader de-risking across commodities and growth-sensitive assets.

Silver (XAG/USD) dropped from $120+ to $73, showing volatile swings with recent stabilization near $72–$73. Source: Father of the Space via X

Market analyst Father of the Space (@adakole__) captured the shift in tone, stating that silver “just went from euphoria to panic.” He cautioned that while prices are attempting to stabilize, “one bounce doesn’t fix this kind of breakdown,” pointing to a clear structural reset rather than a clean trend continuation.

From an analytical standpoint, this observation aligns with historical silver behavior. Sharp liquidation events are often followed by fast counter-moves as selling pressure exhausts, but durable recoveries typically require time, repeated support tests, and improving volume conditions. This context remains central to any near-term silver price prediction today, as conviction across the market remains uneven.

Key Technical Levels Shape the Silver Price Outlook

From a technical perspective, the $72–$73 area has emerged as the most important short-term reference point for silver support levels. This zone has absorbed multiple pullbacks during the rebound and now represents the threshold between stabilization and renewed downside risk.

The trade targets a recovery with entry at $77–$78, support at $72, and take-profit at $86–$94, invalidated if $72 breaks. Source: FX_CAM on TradingView

On the upside, silver resistance levels near $92 remain decisive. This area capped prior recovery attempts and coincides with a broader zone of historical supply. A sustained move above $92 would materially alter the silver price structure, while repeated rejection below it would reinforce the view that the market remains in a corrective phase.

Several short-term trade frameworks point to upside objectives around $86 and $94, conditional on silver holding above $72. A failure to defend that support would likely reopen downside risk toward deeper demand areas near $60, a level closely monitored in silver price analysis, given its role during the recent liquidation.

Elliott Wave Counts Highlight Uncertainty

Elliott Wave interpretations continue to shape parts of the silver price forecast, though analysts stress that these counts function as conditional frameworks rather than predictive tools. Some wave models interpret the rebound as a corrective rally within a broader decline, while others suggest the recent sell-off may have completed a larger corrective phase.

Silver may have ended wave A near 75 and rallied to 92 as wave B, now facing a breakout, pullback, or further decline. Source: WavesPatternsCandlesIndi on TradingView

Market technicians note that the distinction ultimately rests on price behavior rather than the wave count itself. A sustained break above $92 would invalidate most bearish Elliott Wave scenarios, while continued failure below that level would keep downside risks active. Until price confirms one path, Elliott Wave analysis remains a secondary lens rather than a primary signal.

Silver and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Beyond technicals, silver’s recent price action reflects broader macroeconomic dynamics. As both a precious metal and an industrial input, silver often responds to changes in monetary policy expectations, real interest rates, and economic growth outlooks.

Silver (XAG/USD) was trading at around $77.94, up 9.88% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: TradingView

Expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policy and interest rate trajectories continue to influence the relationship between the silver price and the U.S. dollar. Historically, periods of easing financial conditions and rising inflation expectations have supported silver’s role as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. Conversely, tighter policy environments and elevated real yields have weighed on prices, as seen during the recent drawdown.

Longer-term fundamentals tied to silver industrial demand, including solar panel manufacturing, electronics, and green energy infrastructure, remain intact. These factors continue to inform longer-horizon discussions around silver price prediction 2025 and silver price prediction 2026, even as short-term price behavior remains dominated by volatility and positioning.

$SLV Momentum Indicators Signal Potential Rebound

The iShares Investment Trust (SLV) continues to navigate a volatile phase after a parabolic rally in 2025, where the ETF surged nearly 277% before correcting sharply from its $109.83 peak. As of February 6, 2026, SLV closed at $70.19, up 5.25% on elevated volume of 69.14 million shares, signaling capitulation and dip-buying by retail investors. The recent price action reflects a classic “blow-off top,” with extreme volatility (beta 2.08) and high implied volatility near 143%, underscoring the potential for continued sharp swings across both the Arca Exchange and global silver markets.

SLV’s curved trend lines indicate support near the lower line, but strong momentum may drive price toward the upper curve first. Source: TradingView

From a short-term technical perspective, SLV remains bearish, trading below its 5-day ($74.06) and 20-day ($83.88) SMAs. Momentum indicators show a mixed picture: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near 40, approaching oversold territory, while the MACD is bullish with a positive histogram, hinting at potential short-term rebound opportunities. Medium-term trends are neutral to bearish, with the price slightly above the 50-day SMA and no confirmed bullish crossovers, while the looming possibility of a “death cross” signals continued caution for traders.

Long-term technicals remain structurally bullish but damaged, as SLV still holds above its 200-day SMA around $59.94, a key level for sustained recovery. Supply deficits in silver driven by industrial demand from AI, solar, and EV sectors, along with correlated equities like Silver Mines Limited and listings on the TSX Exchange, provide a supportive backdrop for potential upside. Investors tracking SLV on the Arca Exchange or considering exposure via related instruments should monitor short-term support near $69 and resistance near $74–$75, as volatility and market sentiment continue to dictate near-term trading opportunities.

Short-Term Outlook: Volatility Likely to Persist

In the near term, most analysts expect the silver price movement to remain uneven. While liquidation pressure appears to have eased, markets are still transitioning from forced selling toward consolidation. Historically, post-panic phases in silver often involve choppy ranges and multiple retests of support before trend clarity returns.

@xagsilver noted silver rebounded from $63.90 to $77.85, with intraday swings near 10% amid broader $75–$77 volatility. Source: XAG via X

Shorter-term momentum indicators show early signs of stabilization, but higher-timeframe trends remain mixed. As a result, the silver price forecast short term depends primarily on two conditions: the ability to hold the $72–$73 support zone and the market’s response to overhead supply near $92.

For now, silver remains at a pivotal junction. A decisive break above resistance could shift sentiment and materially improve upside potential. Until that occurs, traders and investors are likely to remain cautious, focusing on key price levels as macro uncertainty and technical pressure continue to shape the silver price in today’s market update.