A crypto analyst has outlined a compelling bear case for Ethereum as the token struggles near the $2,000 mark. The commentary comes amid growing concerns about network fragmentation and competitive pressures.
Trader Curious J presented the bearish thesis on X, drawing parallels between Ethereum and Cosmos. The analysis highlights fundamental challenges facing the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency.
Curious J pointed to layer-2 scaling solutions as a double-edged sword for Ethereum.
Gas fees have dropped significantly on the main chain, but not because of reduced demand. Activity has migrated to layer-2 networks instead, creating what the analyst calls fragmentation rather than genuine scaling success.
The trader argued that Ethereum remains slow and expensive compared to newer layer-1 blockchains.
Despite billions raised through various funding rounds and the launch of spot ETFs, price action has disappointed investors. Market participants are signaling weak demand through continued selling pressure.
The analysis highlighted Solana’s growing dominance in the layer-1 space.
According to Curious J, Solana delivers faster transactions, lower costs, and superior user experience. Developers and users have voted with their feet, choosing Solana for new applications and protocols.
Even Ethereum’s traditional moat, the Ethereum Virtual Machine and developer mindshare, shows signs of cracking. Vitalik Buterin has publicly questioned certain layer-2 implementations using the EVM.
New chains like Arc and Tempo are emerging with alternative approaches. Hyperliquid demonstrated that decentralized exchanges can thrive on independent layer-1 blockchains.
Ethereum currently trades at $2,038.38 according to CoinGecko data. The token has declined 3.79% over the past 24 hours, with trading volume reaching $19.4 billion.
Weekly performance shows a sharper 12.58% drop, reflecting broader market weakness.
Technical analyst Lennaert Snyder offered additional perspective on short-term price movements.
Ethereum bounced 23% following recent corrections, mirroring Bitcoin’s recovery pattern. However, Snyder noted that Bitcoin’s chart appears more favorable due to deeper liquidity sweeps.
Snyder identified key price levels that could determine Ethereum’s near-term direction.
Traders are watching the $1,918 support zone for potential long entries. The analyst emphasized timing, noting that Ethereum typically establishes weekly highs or lows on Mondays or Tuesdays 86% of the time.
On the upside, the $2,150 level represents a liquidity target where sellers might emerge.
A sweep above this wick followed by bearish market structure could trigger short positions. The overall trend remains bearish until technical invalidation occurs through decisive breaks of resistance.
Curious J’s broader argument challenges Ethereum’s core value propositions. The network failed as a global execution layer and hasn’t achieved “ultra sound money” status.
The ETH/BTC ratio continues declining, showing Ethereum isn’t competing effectively with Bitcoin either. In an increasingly multichain world, the analyst believes Ethereum is losing relevance despite current metrics like total value locked and stablecoin dominance.
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