Solana (SOL) Price: Will SOL Recover to $100 as Institutions Keep Buying the Dip

TLDR

• SOL is trading around $86–$87, down nearly 7% over the past week
• The SEC and CFTC released a joint crypto token taxonomy on March 17, 2026, clarifying regulatory categories
• Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran have pressured risk assets across crypto markets
• Solana ETFs saw $21–$26 million in inflows last week, marking six straight weeks of positive flows
• Key support sits at $85; a break above $90 would be needed to target the $100 level

Solana (SOL) is trading near $86–$87 at the time of writing, following a rough week that saw the token shed nearly 7% of its value. The decline mirrors broader crypto market weakness, with total market capitalization falling to around $2.36 trillion.

Bitcoin slipped below $67,360 on Sunday, triggering widespread liquidations across the market. Solana has not been immune to that pressure.

Iran stated it would strike the energy and water infrastructure of Gulf neighbors if Trump followed through on threats to target Iran’s electricity grid within 48 hours. These developments have pushed investors away from risk assets.

Regulatory Picture Gets Clearer

On March 17, 2026, the SEC and CFTC issued a joint interpretation on how federal securities laws apply to crypto assets. The agencies proposed a five-category token taxonomy: digital commodities, digital collectibles, digital tools, stablecoins, and digital securities.

The regulators clarified that digital commodities, collectibles, and tools are not automatically classified as securities. However, they noted that certain structures or promotional plans could change that classification.

Solana was named alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano as examples in the framework. The interpretation is part of a broader SEC-CFTC harmonization plan aimed at clearer US crypto oversight.

Ali Charts posted on X (formerly Twitter) on March 22: “11.80 million Solana $SOL have been withdrawn from crypto exchanges over the last 96 hours.” Exchange outflows of this scale are often read as a sign that holders are moving coins to self-custody rather than preparing to sell.

Institutional Demand Holds Up

Despite the price drop, institutional interest in Solana has held steady. SOL-focused ETFs recorded between $21 and $26 million in inflows last week, making it the sixth consecutive week of positive flows according to data from SoSoValue.

Cumulative net inflows into Solana investment products have reached $989.78 million since launch. The total value locked in real-world assets on Solana also hit a record $465 million this quarter.

However, futures open interest on Binance has been falling since mid-January, dropping to $871.40 million on Monday. Funding rates also turned negative over the weekend, reading -0.0011% on Monday — a signal that short positions are more active than long ones.

On the chart, SOL is trading below the $90 resistance zone. The RSI sits near 38–46 depending on the timeframe, indicating weak buying pressure. The MACD remains in negative territory.

Key support is at $85. If that level breaks, $80 becomes the next target. A confirmed move above $90 would open the path toward $100.

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