The post Fixing crypto’s broken investor relations appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. This is a segment from the 0xResearch newsletter. To read full editions,The post Fixing crypto’s broken investor relations appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. This is a segment from the 0xResearch newsletter. To read full editions,

Fixing crypto’s broken investor relations

2025/12/12 05:11

This is a segment from the 0xResearch newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe.


Macro finally reminded crypto that it still matters. 

The Fed delivered the expected 25 bps cut but signaled a much tighter path ahead, projecting only one cut for all of next year. That was enough to knock BTC off its early strength and reinforce the idea that liquidity is not opening as quickly as many had hoped. 

At the same time, the Perp Wars are heating up as Aster and Lighter chip away at Hyperliquid’s dominance, and the gap between crypto’s cash flows and its investor relations infrastructure is becoming too big to ignore.

Indices

Markets saw a clear split yesterday between BTC and the major benchmarks. BTC closed at -0.73% while gold, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq finished at 0.57%, 0.53%, and 0.22%, respectively.

The move followed the Fed’s widely expected 25-basis-point cut. What surprised markets was the guidance that followed. 

The Fed signaled that policy will likely stay tight for longer, with only one cut projected for all of next year. Officials pointed to a cooling labor market, inflation that is still above target, and growth that is expected to remain firm. The message was clear that liquidity is not opening up as quickly as many have hoped; that tone likely explains why BTC gave back its early strength.

Across crypto sectors, performance was mixed. L2s and Memes managed to post gains of 1.70% and 1.27% respectively. L2 strength came almost entirely from MNT, which jumped 4.5% and now makes up nearly one-third of the index. The meme sector told a similar story, with M (MemeCore) up 6.2% while most other meme names traded lower. 

AI and DePIN were the laggards, at -3% and -4%. AI was weighed down by IP and ICP, which fell -6% and -7.9%, while DePIN weakness came from FIL and HNT at -4.9% and -5.6%.

BTC is circling $90,000, and the market feels stuck in neutral. Until macro picks a direction, crypto will keep drifting with it.

Market Update: HYPE in the evolving Perp Wars

Is the HYPE fading? This has been the question on everyone’s mind as the token has struggled to keep pace with the broader recovery. In the last seven days, HYPE is down -20% while BTC is down only -3%. When we zoom out and look at weekly HYPE/BTC returns, it becomes clear that HYPE has given back almost half of its outperformance since the April lows after peaking in mid-September.

So what changed? The clearest answer is increased competition. The peak in performance lined up almost perfectly with the launch of Aster, which quickly captured market share and attention away from Hyperliquid. Since mid-September, Hyperliquid’s share of perp volume has fallen from 49% to 19% today. The majority of that lost share has gone to Aster and Lighter. In fact, Lighter has slightly edged out Hyperliquid in weekly volume since mid-October.

But volume alone does not tell the full story. When we compare weekly volume relative to open interest, we see that both Lighter and Aster post much higher ratios than Hyperliquid. High ratios suggest faster turnover of outstanding positions and often signal inorganic activity driven by farming. Aster and Lighter are both running points programs, so a large part of their activity could evaporate as incentives cool. Lighter has its TGE approaching and that will give us the first real read on how much of its activity is sticky and how much is farm-and-flee.

For a while, many assumed Hyperliquid would run away with the Perp Wars. The picture now looks much more competitive. I don’t think this will be a winner-take-all market, but the dominant perp exchange will be the one that offers the lowest fees, the deepest books, the widest market selection, and the most seamless trading experience. 

Lighter is winning the fee battle with zero maker/taker fees, and last week we noted how the rise of perp aggregators could push more flow toward low-fee venues. Yet depth and market selection matter just as much and Hyperliquid still leads on both — especially after the launch of HIP-3, which introduced equity perpetual markets that have seen strong early traction.

Recent headwinds such as team unlocks in November and concerns around Hyperliquid’s auto deleveraging design have weighed on short term sentiment. Even so, the core fundamentals remain powerful. Hyperliquid consistently generates between $10 million-$20 million in weekly revenue that is used to buy back HYPE. Very few protocols have that level of real economic engine behind them.

Success is never guaranteed but anyone writing off Hyperliquid at this stage is probably being too quick. The real battle for perp dominance is only just getting started, and the next few months will reveal who is building a durable edge and who is simply riding the incentive wave.

Fixing broken investor relations

Crypto has matured fast. What used to be a market of purely speculative infrastructure plays has evolved into diversified, revenue-generating streams. Monthly protocol revenue (excluding stablecoins) averaged $175 million in 2025, a 133% increase year over year from $75 million in 2024.

The ability to coordinate globally on a decentralized network has led to growth previously unseen; Hyperliquid became the fastest team ever to reach $1 billion ARR, Tether raised at a $500 billion valuation, Axiom hit $63 million in monthly revenue less than six months after launch.

If fundraising is any indication, with total monthly raises ranging from $500 million to $2 billion, the industry continues to expand rapidly and aggressively.

However, despite this growth, the industry has become harder to navigate than ever, especially for TradFi investors looking to diversify into the asset class. While these assets have largely become ownership-based, functioning like cash-generating businesses, their unique crypto characteristics make due diligence extremely difficult.

Take Pendle Finance, a fixed/variable rate swap yield optimizing platform, as an example. The traditional interest-rate derivative industry trades $7.9 trillion per day. Understanding the scale of the TradFi market, investors are curious how this extends to crypto. However, the nuances are dense:

  • USDe Dominance (yields and rollover rates)
  • Pricing power and Ve (Vote-Escrow) tokenomics
  • Aave integrations (PT listings) and chain-specific dependencies
  • Points meta, emergence of new protocols with points incentives

This complexity extends to almost every product in today’s rapidly changing environment. How do you explain the advantages of a CLOB vs. GLP model? How do you articulate the tradeoffs between Modular vs. Monolithic lending? How sticky are the different user acquisition models? Could this be the reason many protocols are trading at steep discounts relative to TradFi equivalents?

For a professional allocator, the workflow is fundamentally broken. Critical information is constrained behind multiple dashboards, GitHub pages, and private Telegram channels. This fragmentation creates three distinct barriers to entry:

  • Fragmentation: There is no canonical source for diligence. Data, docs, governance and research are scattered across disparate platforms.
  • Data reliability: Public aggregators are frequently inconsistent or mislabeled. Without standardized definitions, a single bad input can compromise an entire investment thesis.
  • The translation layer: Most materials are written for crypto natives. They lack the translation into the metrics that investment committees require: revenue, retention, unit economics and cash flows.

To bridge this gap, Blockworks is launching Lightspeed IR in partnership with the Solana Foundation. Designed to professionalize the connection between issuers and capital, the platform replaces the current fragmented workflow with a gated, standardized environment. It focuses on replacing open aggregators with high-fidelity onchain metrics, converting raw governance activity into IC-ready research, and centralizing roadmap updates for direct communication between teams and allocators.

We are starting with Solana, given its intersection of high user activity and cash-flow generating applications, but the mandate is a broader platform, allowing crypto-native projects to effectively communicate with capital allocators and investors.


Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters:

Source: https://blockworks.co/news/fixing-investor-relations

Sorumluluk Reddi: Bu sitede yeniden yayınlanan makaleler, halka açık platformlardan alınmıştır ve yalnızca bilgilendirme amaçlıdır. MEXC'nin görüşlerini yansıtmayabilir. Tüm hakları telif sahiplerine aittir. Herhangi bir içeriğin üçüncü taraf haklarını ihlal ettiğini düşünüyorsanız, kaldırılması için lütfen [email protected] ile iletişime geçin. MEXC, içeriğin doğruluğu, eksiksizliği veya güncelliği konusunda hiçbir garanti vermez ve sağlanan bilgilere dayalı olarak alınan herhangi bir eylemden sorumlu değildir. İçerik, finansal, yasal veya diğer profesyonel tavsiye niteliğinde değildir ve MEXC tarafından bir tavsiye veya onay olarak değerlendirilmemelidir.

Ayrıca Şunları da Beğenebilirsiniz

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

BitcoinWorld Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% The financial world is buzzing with a significant development: the probability of a Fed rate cut in October has just seen a dramatic increase. This isn’t just a minor shift; it’s a monumental change that could ripple through global markets, including the dynamic cryptocurrency space. For anyone tracking economic indicators and their impact on investments, this update from the U.S. interest rate futures market is absolutely crucial. What Just Happened? Unpacking the FOMC Statement’s Impact Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, market sentiment has decisively shifted. Before the announcement, the U.S. interest rate futures market had priced in a 71.6% chance of an October rate cut. However, after the statement, this figure surged to an astounding 94%. This jump indicates that traders and analysts are now overwhelmingly confident that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next month. Such a high probability suggests a strong consensus emerging from the Fed’s latest communications and economic outlook. A Fed rate cut typically means cheaper borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can stimulate economic activity. But what does this really signify for investors, especially those in the digital asset realm? Why is a Fed Rate Cut So Significant for Markets? When the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, it sends powerful signals across the entire financial ecosystem. A rate cut generally implies a more accommodative monetary policy, often enacted to boost economic growth or combat deflationary pressures. Impact on Traditional Markets: Stocks: Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper for companies, potentially boosting earnings and making stocks more attractive compared to bonds. Bonds: Existing bonds with higher yields might become more valuable, but new bonds will likely offer lower returns. Dollar Strength: A rate cut can weaken the U.S. dollar, making exports cheaper and potentially benefiting multinational corporations. Potential for Cryptocurrency Markets: The cryptocurrency market, while often seen as uncorrelated, can still react significantly to macro-economic shifts. A Fed rate cut could be interpreted as: Increased Risk Appetite: With traditional investments offering lower returns, investors might seek higher-yielding or more volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. Inflation Hedge Narrative: If rate cuts are perceived as a precursor to inflation, assets like Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” could gain traction as an inflation hedge. Liquidity Influx: A more accommodative monetary environment generally means more liquidity in the financial system, some of which could flow into digital assets. Looking Ahead: What Could This Mean for Your Portfolio? While the 94% probability for a Fed rate cut in October is compelling, it’s essential to consider the nuances. Market probabilities can shift, and the Fed’s ultimate decision will depend on incoming economic data. Actionable Insights: Stay Informed: Continue to monitor economic reports, inflation data, and future Fed statements. Diversify: A diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sudden market shifts. Assess Risk Tolerance: Understand how a potential rate cut might affect your specific investments and adjust your strategy accordingly. This increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut presents both opportunities and challenges. It underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space. Investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility. The financial landscape is always evolving, and the significant surge in the probability of an October Fed rate cut is a clear signal of impending change. From stimulating economic growth to potentially fueling interest in digital assets, the implications are vast. Staying informed and strategically positioned will be key as we approach this crucial decision point. The market is now almost certain of a rate cut, and understanding its potential ripple effects is paramount for every investor. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? A1: The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. It sets the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates and economic conditions. Q2: How does a Fed rate cut impact the U.S. dollar? A2: A rate cut typically makes the U.S. dollar less attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns, potentially leading to a weakening of the dollar against other currencies. Q3: Why might a Fed rate cut be good for cryptocurrency? A3: Lower interest rates can reduce the appeal of traditional investments, encouraging investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. It can also be seen as a sign of increased liquidity or potential inflation, benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Q4: Is a 94% probability a guarantee of a rate cut? A4: While a 94% probability is very high, it is not a guarantee. Market probabilities reflect current sentiment and data, but the Federal Reserve’s final decision will depend on all available economic information leading up to their meeting. Q5: What should investors do in response to this news? A5: Investors should stay informed about economic developments, review their portfolio diversification, and assess their risk tolerance. Consider how potential changes in interest rates might affect different asset classes and adjust strategies as needed. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your network to keep others informed about the potential impact of the upcoming Fed rate cut and its implications for the financial markets! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Paylaş
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:25