Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

925 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Floki Crypto Price Prediction: Market Shows Tight Range as Bulls Defend Key Support

Floki Crypto Price Prediction: Market Shows Tight Range as Bulls Defend Key Support

The post Floki Crypto Price Prediction: Market Shows Tight Range as Bulls Defend Key Support appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Floki market has entered a period of restrained volatility, with prices oscillating in a narrow band as traders weigh short-term opportunities against broader uncertainty. Despite recent fluctuations, the token remains relatively stable near the $0.000065–$0.000066 zone, suggesting that the market is balancing between mild selling pressure and renewed accumulation interest. Short-Term Price Structure Reflects Active Intraday Speculation The 5-minute chart for FLOKI/USD on Open Interest highlights a pattern of sharp yet contained price swings, a hallmark of active intraday trading. Midway through the chart, the coin recorded a brief surge followed by swift rejection at local resistance, underscoring the presence of momentum traders exploiting short-lived price spikes. The subsequent retreat revealed strong sell orders absorbing upward movement, leading to a reversion within the existing range. Source: Open Interest Beneath the price chart, the Buy/Sell Volume indicator (value 10) paints a clear picture of the ongoing battle between short-term bulls and bears. Distinct green volume bars accompanied upward thrusts, indicating bursts of buy-side aggression that temporarily overpowered sellers. However, repeated dips below the zero line showed that selling volume quickly returned, dampening follow-through. This interplay suggests a speculative market environment best suited for short-cycle momentum plays rather than extended directional positions. The narrow price channel shaped by quick reversals and low sustained momentum indicates that liquidity remains high but conviction is limited. This phase often precedes either a breakout attempt or a continued range-bound trade, depending on how buyers respond to recurring sell pressure. Market Metrics Show Steady Activity Amid Reduced Volatility Additionally, the coin maintains a market capitalization of $636.87 million, supported by $57.2 million in 24-hour trading volume. The asset’s 1.73% daily gain reflects modest buying strength, with prices hovering around $0.00006591. Ranked 142nd globally, FLOKI remains a notable player in the meme-coin ecosystem, attracting consistent volume despite…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket Regains Lead as Prediction Markets Hit $2 Billion Weekly Volume

Polymarket Regains Lead as Prediction Markets Hit $2 Billion Weekly Volume

The post Polymarket Regains Lead as Prediction Markets Hit $2 Billion Weekly Volume appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Prediction markets volume reached a record $2 billion weekly as Polymarket regains its lead over Kalshi, driven by surging user activity and major funding rounds that value the industry in billions. Polymarket leads with $1 billion in volume, surpassing Kalshi’s $950 million amid U.S. market reentry. Sports markets dominate with $414.7 million, outpacing politics at $322.6 million in weekly trading. Industry valuations soar: Kalshi at $5 billion post-$300 million funding; Polymarket at $9 billion after $2 billion investment, per Certuity report projecting $95.5 billion by 2035. Explore surging prediction markets volume hitting $2B weekly. Polymarket leads amid elections and sports bets. Stay ahead with COINOTAG insights on crypto trends and valuations. Read now! What Is Driving Prediction Markets Volume to $2 Billion Weekly? Prediction markets volume has surged to over $2 billion weekly, marking a new high as platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi see explosive growth in user engagement and trading. This milestone, tracked by Dune Analytics data, reflects broader mainstream adoption fueled by relaxed U.S. regulations and high-stakes events like elections and sports seasons. Polymarket’s beta testing for…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket and Kalshi Dominate as Prediction Market Weekly Volume Rockets Past $2 Billion

Polymarket and Kalshi Dominate as Prediction Market Weekly Volume Rockets Past $2 Billion

The post Polymarket and Kalshi Dominate as Prediction Market Weekly Volume Rockets Past $2 Billion appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Dune Analytics data shows prediction markets are buzzing this week, racking up more than $2 billion in total volume across Myriad, Limitless, Kalshi, and Polymarket — with the latter pair pocketing most of the betting frenzy. Over on Polymarket, open interest shot up to $202 million by Monday, proving that traders aren’t just watching—they’re piling […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/polymarket-and-kalshi-dominate-as-prediction-market-weekly-volume-rockets-past-2-billion/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Markets Bet Big on US Government Dysfunction: Shutdown Odds Stretch Toward Thanksgiving

Prediction Markets Bet Big on US Government Dysfunction: Shutdown Odds Stretch Toward Thanksgiving

The post Prediction Markets Bet Big on US Government Dysfunction: Shutdown Odds Stretch Toward Thanksgiving appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. As of Oct. 20, 2025, Washington’s still stuck in neutral—no deal, no compromise, and the House has hit snooze again, stretching recesses to Oct. 19. On Monday morning, White House economic adviser and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett told CNBC that the ongoing shutdown—what he cheekily dubbed the “Schumer shutdown”—is “likely to end sometime […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-markets-bet-big-on-us-government-dysfunction-shutdown-odds-stretch-toward-thanksgiving/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
The History of Crypto Prediction Markets: How Polymarket and Kalshi Emerged as Winners in a Crowded Space

The History of Crypto Prediction Markets: How Polymarket and Kalshi Emerged as Winners in a Crowded Space

The post The History of Crypto Prediction Markets: How Polymarket and Kalshi Emerged as Winners in a Crowded Space appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket and Kalshi are now considered the top crypto prediction markets, but the space was once led by other players taking very different approaches. Intercontinental Exchange’s move to invest up to $2 billion into Polymarket and Kalshi’s $300 million financing have turned a once-niche corner of crypto into a mainstream trading category. “The real prize for ICE is not just clearing contracts but monetizing the data, selling odds as sentiment factors alongside rates and credit where every rumor pays a fee,” said Michael Ashley Schulman, partner and CIO at Running Point Capital Advisors, told Reuters. But the prediction market boom is the culmination of years of technical experiments, regulatory fights, and product re-thinking, not a passing trend. Where’s Augur and Gnosis? Long before Polymarket and Kalshi arrived, the decentralized prediction market sector was already crowded with Gnosis, which at its peak in August 2020 had over $85 million in total value locked, followed by Augur with over $13 million, per data from DefiLlama. Prediction Markets TVL Augur, unveiled during the ICO era and founded in 2014 by Joey Krug, Jack Peterson, and Jeremy Gardner, went live in 2018, promising decentralized prediction markets with a native reputation token (REP) and an oracle system for reporting outcomes. Augur Interface While the idea was solid on paper, early users quickly ran into practical problems. Third-party node services were uneven, and blockchain sync issues and high Ethereum gas fees in those days slowed markets. As Alchemy, a blockchain infrastructure firm that also offered services to Augur, explained in a blog post, initially Augur launched with a “free third-party node service that was slow, unreliable, and frequently provided incorrect blockchain data,” costing the project months of recovery work. Mike Garland, head of product at Alchemy, explained to The Defiant that Augur and Gnosis “were pioneers…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Market Bettors Go All-in on a Bitcoin Drop Under $100K

Prediction Market Bettors Go All-in on a Bitcoin Drop Under $100K

The post Prediction Market Bettors Go All-in on a Bitcoin Drop Under $100K appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Over the past two weeks, bitcoin has shed 12.4% against the U.S. dollar and now sits 14.9% shy of its all-time high above $126,000. Social media’s been buzzing with chatter over bitcoin’s slide, while prediction platform Polymarket shows bettors pegging a 69% chance that BTC dips below $100,000 before 2026 rolls around. Bitcoin’s October Blues […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-bettors-go-all-in-on-a-bitcoin-drop-under-100k/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Robinhood Adds 80 New Tokens, Expanding U.S. Stocks Access for EU Users

Robinhood Adds 80 New Tokens, Expanding U.S. Stocks Access for EU Users

The post Robinhood Adds 80 New Tokens, Expanding U.S. Stocks Access for EU Users appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Tokenization is rapidly transforming the financial landscape by converting traditional assets into digital tokens. While institutional interest is on the rise, regulators are also stepping in to create clear rules and frameworks, to balance innovation with investor protection.  Robinhood Expands Tokenized U.S. Stocks in EU In a significant move, Robinhood has deployed 80 additional tokens …

Author: CoinPedia
Prediction Markets Going Mainstream As DeFi’s Most Accessible Product?

Prediction Markets Going Mainstream As DeFi’s Most Accessible Product?

The post Prediction Markets Going Mainstream As DeFi’s Most Accessible Product? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Mike Rychko, a researcher at prediction market infrastructure provider Azuro, thinks prediction markets are breaking into the mainstream — and the data appears to back him up. In a Thursday X post, Rychko argued that prediction markets are entering the real world beyond crypto and that their accessibility is likely to result in their success as the first decentralized finance (DeFi) product that achieves mass adoption. “Most people will never open a derivatives exchange,” Rychko wrote. “But ‘87% chance Mamdani wins’ — that’s a language anyone speaks.” He added that “humans are lazy by design” and crave a “clean, digestible signal,” and said that prediction markets meet that demand by turning complex forecasts into simple data points. “That simplicity is precisely why prediction markets will find mass adoption faster than most DeFi experiments ever did.” Earlier this month, crypto-powered prediction market Polymarket received a $2 billion investment from NYSE parent company, Intercontinental Exchange, at a $9 billion valuation. Reports in early September suggested that Polymarket aims for a US launch that could value the company as high as $10 billion, following the appointment of the US President’s son to the company’s board of directors. Founded in 2020, Polymarket allows users to wager stablecoins on real-world events, from elections to sports outcomes. The platform surged in popularity during the 2024 US presidential election, when its activity and trading volume hit record highs. Prediction markets enter the zeitgeist Rychko noted that prediction markets have reached unprecedented levels of mainstream visibility in recent months. Prediction market and Polymarket competitor Kalshi’s New York City screen, which shows a live feed of the market dedicated to the city’s mayoral election, has attracted widespread attention, with the video drawing nearly 13 million views on X alone. Source: Kalshi Rychko described the display as “a public signal”…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
CME to launch event contracts, challenging Kalshi and Polymarket

CME to launch event contracts, challenging Kalshi and Polymarket

The post CME to launch event contracts, challenging Kalshi and Polymarket appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways CME Group is entering the prediction markets industry by launching event contracts through a new partnership with FanDuel. This move challenges existing platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket by bringing CME’s traditional financial infrastructure to entertainment-based event betting. CME Group, a major derivatives exchange operator, is partnering with FanDuel to launch event-based financial contracts, marking the traditional finance giant’s entry into the prediction markets space. The collaboration positions CME to distribute new contracts through FanDuel’s platform, bringing traditional exchange infrastructure to entertainment-driven betting markets. FanDuel’s parent company, Flutter Entertainment, has been navigating regulatory landscapes in gambling and prediction markets. The move intensifies competition with existing prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, which have been battling for market dominance. Prediction market platforms face broader industry scrutiny, with some regulators labeling such markets as potential illegal gambling despite growing interest from traditional investors seeking exposure to entertainment-driven financial products. Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/cme-event-contracts-prediction-markets-kalshi-polymarket/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket Profits Cluster with Bots and Whales

Polymarket Profits Cluster with Bots and Whales

The post Polymarket Profits Cluster with Bots and Whales appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. To rank within the top 0.51% by profit and loss, an individual must realize gains surpassing $1,000 Simply executing 50 or more trades places a user ahead of 77% of the entire user base People are starting to view Polymarket as less of a place for simple betting and more as a sophisticated trading ground where experts profit from tiny price differences and perfect timing A week ago, it was reported that Polymarket, a prediction-market protocol, recently hit a $9 billion valuation following a large $2 billion investment. Interestingly, data and analysis shows that a remarkably small fraction of users achieve consistent profits. To rank within the top 0.51% by profit and loss, an individual must realize gains surpassing $1,000. Similarly, a trading volume exceeding $50,000 is required to be in the top 1.74% by that same metric. Also, simply executing 50 or more trades places a user ahead of 77% of the entire user base. Two strategies driving profit Right now, a strategy known as the “Endgame Sweep” is gaining attention. When an event outcome is nearly certain and market pricing is high (for instance, above 0.95), some users will buy in and wait for settlement to capture the remaining value. The reason this works is because many small-time traders get nervous or impatient and sell their contracts just before the event settles, for prices like 0.997 or 0.999. This leaves a small profit window for big whale investors or bots, who can buy these cheap contracts and instantly collect the full value. Sometimes, these large players might even spread fear or manipulate the price to scare smaller traders into selling early. Related: Polymarket Adds Bitcoin Deposits as Platform Targets $1 Billion Valuation Another notable arbitrage opportunity arises in multi-outcome prediction markets, where the combined implied probability of all…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews